Łukasz Zembik – Market Analyst – MarketPulse

Łukasz Zembik – Market Analyst – MarketPulse

Analyst Profile

Łukasz Zembik Bio Profile

Łukasz Zembik

Senior Market Analyst

Education:

Łukasz graduated from the University of Warsaw with a degree in Finance and Accounting and holds a certified Financial Markets Dealer license.

Time in MarketPulse:

4 months

Łukasz Zembik has 13 years of experience in the financial markets. He specialises in foreign exchange and commodity markets, with a particular focus on central banks’ fiscal policies. He’s a regular market commentary contributor to leading Polish financial publications as well as international media outlets such as Reuters and Bloomberg. As a financial markets commentator, he combines both fundamental and technical analysis in his market approach.

Łukasz is the author of several educational resources on investing and financial markets for OANDA TMS clients. He also created a popular Live Trading webinar series in Poland, offering practical insights into real-time market dynamics and trading strategies.

Recently published by Łukasz Zembik

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Europe on the brink of the heating season, yet gas remains cheap

Despite the approaching heating season, European gas prices remain low (around 30–32 euro per MWh) thanks to high storage levels and strong U.S. LNG inflows. Lower Chinese demand and increased Russian pipeline exports to Asia have eased global pressure. However, Norwegian production issues and potential cold weather could push TTF prices up to 40-45 euro per MWh by year-end.

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Gold Rally Driven by Massive ETF Inflows

Gold prices hit record highs, fueled by massive ETF inflows, with SPDR Gold Shares at the forefront. Despite Fed rate cut expectations remaining stable, strong institutional demand, geopolitical risks, and investor appetite for safe-haven assets are driving the rally. Silver follows suit, reaching its highest level in 14 years and approaching its historic $50 barrier.

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Caution Over Speed: How the Fed Framed Its First Cut

The Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 4.00–4.25% after a nine-month pause but kept a cautious tone. Powell called it “risk management,” signaling this isn’t the start of a fast easing cycle. The statement flagged growing employment-side risks, and the new dot plot points to a 3.6% median for 2025—implying two more cuts this year, though views are widely dispersed.

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The ECB is unlikely to change rates in the near future

ECB likely to hold rates at a 2% deposit; markets price no move. Inflation is nearer target and expectations ticked up to 2.5%, so the path may be revised slightly higher on energy. Activity is improving—composite PMI 51.0 and manufacturing above 50—signaling modest recovery. Q3 GDP may be nudged up; core inflation still converging to 2%. Baseline: keep policy on hold this year while monitoring data.

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